Sports wagering can be very profitable if a person know the secrets and techniques this “smart money” bettors employ to consistently make income. One of the greatest secrets that clever money bettors use is knowing when NOT to be able to bet.
Here’s a best case in point. I actually analyzed this Western Va vs. Louisville sport, and concluded that West California had the edge in the match. However , My spouse and i also realized that there are a lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they perform not guess on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:
West California versus Louisville
This activity features all the symptoms of being one of the ideal games of the year, together with both equally teams coming into the sport 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia compared to. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, together with Rest of the world Virginia coming again from getting down big in the independence day 1 / 4 to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the game look like this year?
In JUDI ONLINE were as played in some sort of natural field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since this game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this makes sense…
West Virginia will be on an unprecedented throw. That they haven’t lost considering that April. 1, 2005, proceeding 14-0 since they shed to California Tech. Through the last two periods they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their previous 10 ROAD games.
These kinds of are some very remarkable stats that tilt often the scales in favor connected with WVU for tonight’s gaming. Plus, the additional added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like significantly, but in a near match-up similar to this, that extra point will certainly make the difference between a new push in addition to a loss.
But what about Louisville?
Louisville’s figures are almost as good while WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own very last 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is even now 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home video games.
Plus if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a frightening stat… Louisville hasn’t shed at home since Dec 20, 2003! During this existing run Louisville is hitting 49. 5 points every game in your own home, while hitting only quitting 15. 6 points every game in home. In case anyone failed to do the mathematics, that means given that their particular last home damage they also have averaged beating their own adversaries by simply about 34 points per game.
Even greater impressive, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular range, on average, by way of 13 points per video game at home considering the year 2003.
Wow… how can an individual not in favor of that?
Here’s precisely how…
Many of those stats had been developed during the 2006 season. There is much surprise, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They have already acquired recent games through which they already have only scored twenty-eight, twenty three, 24 points. And the video games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. Many people were being against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
The bottom line is that will this is still a new close video game to get in touch with. But the things i look for is West Virginia’s safeguard to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all of hold Louisville under 25 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t hold them to often the low to mid 20’s. My honest suggestion is to lay off that game and definitely not gamble at all. There happen to be better games this end of the week with more clear-cut advantages.
The final score in this game was Louisville 46, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Virginia had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to return some sort of punt for a TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s border had not been so big that they may still win immediately after generating so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of activity, people serious with regards to sports betting saved money they can put to better apply on upcoming games.